Journal of the International AIDS Society
○ Wiley
Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Journal of the International AIDS Society's content profile, based on 21 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.03% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.
Chimpandule, T.; Tweya, H.; Goeke, L.; Masina, T.; Macheso, S.; Low, N.; Jahn, A.; Imai-Eaton, J. W. W.
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Background: In 2019, WHO recommended three consecutive reactive serological test results for HIV diagnosis to reduce false-positive diagnoses. Malawi changed from a two-test to a three-test strategy in 2022 as HIV test positivity declined. We assessed diagnostic performance, implementation fidelity, and costs. Methods: We analysed national HIV testing data from Nov 1, 2022, to Oct 31, 2025. Using observed three-test classifications as the reference standard, we reconstructed classifications under the two-test strategy. We estimated positive predictive value (PPV), implementation fidelity, potential false-positive diagnoses prevented, incremental costs, and time to offset testing costs through avoided antiretroviral therapy expenditure. Results: Among 9,885,599 encounters eligible for implementation-fidelity analysis, 99.98% followed a valid three-test pathway. The diagnostic-performance analysis included 9,862,908 encounters, of which 171,351 (1.7%) were classified HIV-positive and 9,138 (0.09%) were inconclusive. Under the two-test strategy, 1,209 inconclusive encounters with a T1+/T2+/T3- sequence would have been classified as HIV-positive. Retesting and reference-laboratory data indicated that 82.5% of these would subsequently be classified as HIV-negative, corresponding to 997 false-positive diagnoses prevented (10.3 per 100 000 three-test non-positive encounters; 95% CI 9.7-10.9). Retesting within 1-2 weeks was associated with the highest odds of potential false-positive classification (adjusted OR 39.37, 95% CrI 30.63-50.61). The incremental cost was US$471 per false-positive diagnosis averted and was offset within 7.30 years. Conclusions: Malawi's transition to a three-test HIV testing strategy prevented false-positive diagnoses and unnecessary antiretroviral therapy at modest cost, supporting broader adoption of WHO guidance in similar settings. Funding: Gates Foundation.
Edmond, E. C.; Dreyer, A. J.; Winston, A.; Khoo, S. H.; Joska, J.; Nightingale, S.
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Background Computerised cognitive testing may address the global challenge in identifying cognitive changes in people living with HIV scalably and affordably. We assessed a computerised battery (CB) of cognitive tests, in a prospective cohort (CONNECT) of people with HIV in a low-income peri-urban area of Cape Town, South Africa during a national programmatic switch from efavirenz- to dolutegravir-based antiretroviral therapy (ART). Methods We recruited 170 people with HIV and 91 people without HIV (controls) (140[82%] and 41[45%] followed up). The CB and gold-standard pen&paper cognitive testing (P&P) were performed at both timepoints. Technology familiarity/use questionnaire data were also collected. We compared performance in detecting lower group-level cognitive performance associated with efavirenz treatment. Furthermore, the CB was compared to P&P in classifying individuals with low cognitive performance, correlation of global test scores and domain-level scores between batteries, and practice effects between timepoints. Exploratory principal component analysis was also performed. Results People with HIV on efavirenz at baseline had lower performance on the computerised battery than controls, {Delta}T=2.6, p=0.0047. This difference was lost after switching to dolutegravir-based ART at follow-up. CB and P&P global T were moderately correlated (R2=0.203, p<0.001), and the CB performed moderately in classification of low cognitive performance against the gold standard (AUC 0.70, sensitivity 0.52, specificity 0.76, PPV 0.40, and NPV 0.84). Selecting the first three principal components improved both classification of low cognitive performance (AUC 0.77) and correlation strength with P&P global T (R2=0.3, p<0.001). The CB did not show practice effects. Most participants owned a mobile phone (95%, 85.9% of these smartphones). Performance was better in smartphone owners ({Delta}T=1.8) and computer owners (23%, {Delta}T=1.8). Conclusions Delivering computerised cognitive testing was feasible in this low-income southern African setting. The CB showed reasonable construct validity (detecting known lower cognitive performance associated with efavirenz-ART) and may detect broad cognitive characteristics such as processing speed and accuracy. However, correlation of CB results with gold standard P&P testing was low-moderate and may limit its applicability as a diagnostic tool. This might be improved by including a wider range of cognitive domains tested in the CB, or data driven analysis. Brief CBs may fulfil an initial screening role, followed by more detailed clinical assessment.
Chakraborty, R.; Rosenberg, M.; Weigel, M. M.; Pettifor, A.; Kahn, K.; Gomez-Olive, F. X.
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Purpose Despite the high documented prevalence of hunger and poor mental health in adolescent girls and young women (AGYW) in South Africa, this relationship remains understudied, with existing studies limited by their cross-sectional designs. This longitudinal study aimed to identify the association of hunger trajectories with anxiety and depressive symptoms, and hope in AGYW. Methods We used secondary data from the HIV Prevention Trials Network (HPTN) -068 conducted in rural Agincourt, South Africa. Complete data from 1779 AGYW collected at baseline (2011/12) and three annual follow-up visits were used. Hunger trajectories, measured using the Household Hunger Scale, were estimated via Group-Based Trajectory Modelling. Self-reported incident anxiety and depressive symptoms and hope were assessed based on AGYWs last two follow-up visits. Covariate adjusted modified Poisson regression models estimated the association between hunger trajectories and incident anxiety symptoms, incident depressive symptoms, and hope. Results Moderate-severe hunger was prevalent in 11.0%, 10.8%, and 6.0% of the households at baseline, follow-up 1, and 2, respectively. Incident anxiety symptoms were reported by 4.5%, incident depressive symptoms by 20.0% and hopelessness by 52.8% of the AGYW. Two hunger trajectories were identified- no hunger (82%) and marginal hunger (18%). Hunger trajectories were not associated with incident anxiety symptoms [RR:1.09, 95% CI: 0.55, 2.18], incident depressive symptoms [RR: 0.97; 95% CI: 0.72, 1.33] nor hope [RR: 1.00; 95% CI: 0.81, 1.23] in AGYW. Conclusion Better understanding of the factors that promote resiliency and mental health of AGYW in this setting is warranted to inform the design of interventions.
Yendewa, G.; Chengsupanimit, T.; Dehghani, A.; Ahmed, A.; Mohareb, A.; Cohen, C.; Freeman, M.; Kim, H. N.; Ofotokun, I.; Dube, K.
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Background: HIV/HBV coinfection is associated with substantial liver-related morbidity and mortality, yet the impact of social vulnerability (SV) on clinical outcomes has not been systematically assessed. We evaluated associations of multidimensional SV with mortality, hepatic, virologic, and extrahepatic organ outcomes among adults with HIV/HBV. Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study using TriNetX data from 110 U.S. healthcare organizations (2010-2026). We propensity score matched adults with HIV/HBV with and without documented SV 1:1 (2,024 per group). SV was defined using a four-domain framework encompassing material, healthcare access and engagement, interpersonal, and psychosocial vulnerability. Results: Over 15,900 person-years, SV was associated with higher mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 2.06; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.72-2.47), liver composite events (HR, 1.37; 95% CI, 1.07-1.76), hepatic decompensation (HR, 1.94; 95% CI, 1.39-2.70), hepatic failure (HR, 2.39; 95% CI, 1.53-3.73), HBV viremia (HR, 1.69; 95% CI, 1.32-2.16), and HIV viremia (HR, 2.05; 95% CI, 1.71-2.46). SV was also associated with major adverse cardiovascular events (HR, 1.47), chronic kidney disease (HR, 1.49), and diabetes (HR, 1.25). Multidomain SV generally showed stronger associations than single-domain SV for most hepatic and virologic outcomes, with HR ranges of 1.76-2.62 versus 1.35-1.76 for single-domain SV. Healthcare access and engagement vulnerability was most consistently associated with mortality and hepatic outcomes. Conclusions: SV was associated with mortality, hepatic disease, impaired HIV/HBV control, extrahepatic organ morbidity, and acute care utilization in adults with HIV/HBV. SV assessment may improve risk stratification and identify actionable intervention targets during HIV/HBV care.
Yazdani, N. S.; Oakley, E.; Khan, A.; Qazi, M. F.; Khakwani, S.; Sheikh, A.; Mazhar, A.; Iqbal, U. M.; Marquis, J.; Liaqat, B.; Kumari, K.; Caniglia, E. C.; Hotwani, A.; Nisar, I.; Jehan, F.; Smith, E. R.; Hoodbhoy, Z.
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Background: Despite several trials on the hematological outcomes of intravenous (IV) iron in pregnancy, only few have examined its effect on birth outcomes. We estimated the causal effect of IV-iron on moderate or severe anaemia and birth outcomes. Methods: Women presenting to routine antenatal care in Pakistan with haemoglobin <10 g/dL were eligible for treatment. We used target trial emulation (TTE) methodology to estimate the effect of IV-iron treatment within 14 days of anaemia identification, compared to no treatment, on anaemia status at follow-up. A modified TTE analysis examined birth outcomes at delivery for singleton pregnancies, including birthweight, size-for-gestational-age, and mortality. We conducted a separate TTE for each of five gestational-age periods and pooled the results of each TTE. Results: We screened 3115 pregnancies of which 1715 were eligible for IV-iron; 1043 participants were treated during pregnancy. Those who received IV-iron had half the risk of moderate or severe anaemia in pregnancy compared with no treatment (pooled relative risk (RR) 0.40; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.27, 0.59). The pooled effect of IV-iron on stillbirth suggested an 83% risk reduction (95% CI 55-94%), and trends were similar for perinatal and neonatal mortality. Conclusion: IV-iron treatment improved haematological status in pregnant women and was associated with a large reduction in stillbirth. Given limited data from randomised trials regarding fetal death and treatment earlier in pregnancy, this study contributes important information to the potential benefit of IV-iron in contexts where anaemia and its sequelae are a major public health problem.
Yendewa, G.; Chengsupanimit, T.; Dehghani, A.; Ahmed, A.; Mohareb, A.; Freeman, M.; Cohen, C.; Ofotokun, I.; Dube, K.
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Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) and hepatitis B virus (HBV) coinfection is associated with accelerated liver disease, but whether coinfection is associated with newly documented social determinants of health (SDoH) is unclear. We conducted a retrospective cohort study using TriNetX across 110 U.S. healthcare organizations (2010-2026). We propensity score matched adults with HIV/HBV to adults with HIV or HBV monoinfection. We organized newly documented SDoH indicators using a dynamic individual-level framework with four clinically recognized domains of social disadvantage: material vulnerability, healthcare access and engagement, interpersonal adversity, and psychosocial vulnerability. Matched cohorts included 10,071 HIV/HBV-HIV pairs and 9,659 HIV/HBV-HBV pairs (mean age, 47 years; 79% male; 66% non-White; median follow-up, 3.3 years). Over 178,900 person-years, HIV/HBV was associated with higher risk of the primary SDoH composite compared with HIV (11.5% vs 9.7%; incidence rate, 2.50 vs 1.97 per 100 person-years; hazard ratio [HR], 1.25; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.15-1.37) and HBV (11.0% vs 6.4%; incidence rate, 2.39 vs 1.67; HR, 1.50; 95% CI, 1.35-1.67). HIV/HBV was also associated with higher material vulnerability and healthcare access and engagement composites in both comparisons, including housing instability, food insecurity, financial insecurity, insurance instability, and care disengagement/nonadherence (HR range, 1.22-3.33 vs HIV; 1.31-1.94 vs HBV). In the HBV comparison, HIV/HBV was additionally associated with interpersonal adversity, primary support stressors, and violence or victimization (HR range, 1.36-2.16). Findings were robust across sensitivity analyses. HIV/HBV was associated with more newly documented SDoH than monoinfection, supporting dynamic SDoH assessment.
Wantakisha, E. W. R.; Nyirenda, S.; Narayani, M.
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Background Rural-urban disparities in SARS-CoV-2 infection epidemiology remain poorly quantified and understood in Zambia despite differences in healthcare access, services and preventive interventions. This study examined the geographical distribution and associated factors of SARS-CoV-2 cases across selected rural and urban districts of Zambia. Methods A convergent mixed-methods study comprised of quantitative survey and qualitative interviews was conducted in; Ndola (Urban), Kafue (Peri-urban) and Lufwanyama (Rural). The proximate determinant framework guided variable selection and interpretation. Quantitative combined (Hospital-surveillance data with community survey), while qualitative included In-depth interviews. Participants were sampled using multistage sampling technique. Quantitative data were analysed using STATA version 17, while qualitative data were analysed thematically. Findings were integrated through triangulation. Results A total of 528 participants were included, with a median age 31 years (15-71). Overall SARS-CoV-2 positivity was 12.6%, varying across rural (16.5%), peri-urban (14.9%), and urban (9.9%) settings, though residence was not associated with infection (P<0.132). Participants aged [≥]49 years had significantly higher odds of infection (aOR=8.78; 95% CI:1.15-66.99), whereas secondary education (aOR=0.37; 95% CI:0.16-0.86) and hospital-based testing (aOR=0.37; 95% CI:0.15-0.92) were associated with lower odds of infection. Vaccine uptake was highest in urban areas but was not independently associated with infection. Qualitative findings revealed marked rural-urban differences in perceived susceptibility, testing access, vaccine decision-making, and adherence to preventive measures, explaining several quantitative observations. Conclusion SARS-CoV-2 infection across rural and urban settings in Zambia was influenced by demographic, behavioral, and health-system factors rather than geographic residence alone. These findings highlight the need for context-specific prevention strategies, equitable access to testing, strengthened community surveillance, and targeted risk communication to improve preparedness and response for future respiratory disease outbreaks.
Sawyer, G.; Farooq, B.; Birnie, K.; Fraser, A.; Lawlor, D. A.; Sharp, G. C.; Howe, L. D.
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Background: Inequalities exist for many health outcomes, but there is limited evidence regarding menstrual symptoms despite their importance for health and wellbeing. We aimed to investigate inequalities in menstrual symptoms according to socioeconomic position and childhood adversity. Methods: In two generations (G0 mothers and G1 offspring) from the Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children (ALSPAC), a UK prospective cohort study, we examined associations of multiple indicators of socioeconomic position (SEP) and adverse childhood experiences (ACEs) with menstrual symptoms (pain, abnormal uterine bleeding, and premenstrual syndrome (PMS) measured 3-8-years post-birth in G0 and 17-21-years-old in G1), using multivariable logistic regression. Samples ranged from 4,828 to 9,335 G0 participants and 1,288 to 2,757 G1 participants depending on the exposure-outcome association. Missing data were addressed using multiple imputation and inverse probability weighting. Results: Financial difficulties were associated with greater odds of menstrual pain (G1 OR 1.41; 95% CI 1.07, 1.86: G0 OR 1.55; 95% CI 1.36, 1.76) and irregular cycles (G1 OR 1.60; 95% CI 1.12, 2.29: G0 OR 1.48; 95% CI 1.27, 1.72) in both generations, as well as with short/long cycle lengths in G0 only. Lower education and manual social class were also associated with these three menstrual symptoms in at least one generation. Conversely, higher SEP was associated with PMS in both generations. Higher cumulative ACEs were consistently associated with menstrual pain (4+ compared to none: G1 OR 2.15; 95% CI 1.48, 3.11: G0 OR 1.52; 95% CI 1.29, 1.80) and irregular cycles (G1 OR 1.92; 95% CI 1.20, 3.09: G0 OR 1.54; 95% CI 1.26, 1.87) but not cycle length. Lower parental education, financial difficulties, and cumulative ACEs were associated with heavy bleeding in G1 offspring only, whereas financial difficulties, own manual social class, and cumulative ACEs were associated with prolonged bleeding in G0 mothers only. Higher cumulative ACEs were also associated with PMS in G1 offspring only. Conclusions: We found evidence of inequalities according to socioeconomic disadvantage and childhood adversity for multiple menstrual symptoms, although some associations were only observed in one generation. Findings suggest that menstrual symptoms are disproportionately experienced by socially and socioeconomically disadvantaged women.
Li, D.; Feng, Q.; Chen, H.; Li, J.; Wang, X.; Shen, C.
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Background Lower respiratory infections (LRI) remain the leading infectious cause of death in children, and survival once ill is a direct tracer of health-system quality. Whether countries are converging toward the best survival performance achieved within their own region has never been tested at national level. We measured each country's distance to an empirical episode-fatality-ratio (EFR) frontier in 204 countries from 1990 to 2023. Methods For each country and year we computed EFR = LRI deaths/incident episodes using Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2023 estimates for ages 0-19 years. Deaths span the full 1990-2023 series; episodes are observed for 1990, 2019 and 2023, with intermediate years linearly interpolated. The frontier was the 10th-percentile country EFR within each GBD super-region and year (sensitivity: 5th and 25th percentiles); the gap = EFR_country/EFR_frontier. We classified 33-year gap trajectories into catch-up phenotypes, ranked COVID-window (2019-2023) movers, cross-tabulated gap against avoidable deaths to build a priority list, and benchmarked upper respiratory infections (URI) at three time points as a near-zero-fatality contrast. Findings The median country's gap was 1.86 in 1990, 1.80 in 2019 and 1.86 in 2023; the share of countries more than twice their regional frontier was 44.6% in 1990 and 46.6% in 2023. Of 137 eligible countries, 67 narrowed and 69 widened their gap, with one unchanged. Nineteen countries achieved sustained catch-up, concentrated in North Africa and the Middle East (7) and Latin America (5), with China closing from 2.43 to 0.50, below its regional frontier; 28 countries regressed, led by Central Asia (Uzbekistan x3.5) and including the United States (x2.0). Over the COVID-19 window the median gap peaked at 2.00 in 2021 (+10.8% versus 2019, from unrounded medians) before returning to 1.86. Combining gap with avoidable deaths identifies two distinct policy problems: high-burden, moderate-gap giants (Nigeria 67,490 avoidable deaths, gap 2.4; India 54,109, gap 1.6) and extreme-gap outliers (Uzbekistan, gap 28.6). The Sub-Saharan Africa frontier fell further behind the High-income frontier (ratio 4.2 in 1990, 9.5 in 2023); the median Sub-Saharan African country sits 11.0 times the global 10th-percentile frontier but only 1.78 times its own regional frontier, so within-region benchmarking understates the region's true distance. URI gaps likewise did not converge (median 4.15 to 4.60). Interpretation Convergence toward the survival frontier is not the default national trajectory: over three decades the typical country made no net progress toward the best decile of its own region, and pandemic-era divergence was only partly reversed. National gap trajectories separate system-wide quality shortfalls from extreme outliers warranting audit, and expose a measurement trap in which regions whose frontiers stagnate appear closer to best practice than they are.
Misha, B.; Dassie, G. A.; Mohammad, I.
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Background: Early trophic feeding promotes gut maturation, feeding tolerance, and growth in preterm neonates. However, delays remain common despite recommendations for initiation within 24 hours of birth, especially in resource-limited settings. Evidence on feeding initiation timing and predictors among Ethiopian preterm neonates is limited. Objective: To determine time to trophic feeding initiation and identify predictors among preterm neonates admitted to Adama Hospital Medical College, Ethiopia. Methods: A hospital-based retrospective cohort study was performed on 436 randomly chosen preterm neonates admitted to NICU. Data extraction was performed using a structured checklist. Time to trophic feeding initiation was analyzed using Kaplan-Meier estimates, log-rank tests, and bivariable and multivariable Cox regression models . Adjusted hazard ratios with 95% CIs were reported. Results:The sample comprised 416 preterm neonates, of whom 311 (74.8%) started trophic feeding during follow-up, and 105 (25.2%) were censored. The rate of initiation of trophic feeding was 1.92 per 100 person-hours (95% CI 1.72 to 2.15). Median time to initiation was 42 hours (interquartile range 24 to 50). Independent predictors of feeding initiation were determined by multivariable analysis and included gestational age, birth weight, maternal anaemia, respiratory distress syndrome and necrotising enterocolitis. Neonates born at 34-36 weeks had earlier initiation than those born at <34 weeks (AHR 1.39; 95 % CI 1.09 to 1.78). Similarly, neonates with a birth weight of [≥]1500 g had an earlier initiation than those with a birth weight of <1500 g (AHR 1.41; 95% CI 1.04 to 1.91). Delayed initiation was associated with maternal anaemia (AHR 0.70; 95% CI 0.51-0.95), respiratory distress syndrome (AHR 0.67; 95% CI 0.51-0.88) and necrotising enterocolitis (AHR 0.48; 95% CI 0.33-0.69). Conclusions: Delayed trophic feeding remains common among preterm neonates. Standardized feeding protocols, strengthened maternal care, and individualized nutrition strategies are needed to improve neonatal outcomes in study area.
Gabida, M.; Kazonga, E.; Bowa, K.
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Abstract Preventable neonatal deaths remain a major public health problem in Zimbabwe, where near-universal antenatal and facility-delivery coverage coexist with a rising neonatal mortality rate. This study evaluated whether institutionalising three core "vital signs" of the community health system (a trained village health worker (VHW) workforce, functional community governance structures, and modified women's and men's participatory learning and action groups) reduces preventable neonatal deaths in Mashonaland West Province. An embedded QUAN (qual) mixed-methods design was used, with a two-arm, parallel-group cluster-randomised controlled trial as the dominant strand. Fifty-two ward-level clusters were randomised 1:1 to the institutionalised community health system package or to standard Ministry of Health and Child Care community services, and 984 pregnant women were enrolled between 1 September 2020 and 31 October 2021, with each mother-infant pair followed to 28 days after delivery, yielding 973 mother-infant pairs for intention-to-treat analysis. The primary outcome was neonatal death within 28 days of life, expressed per 1,000 live births. The primary analysis used a three-level mixed-effects log-binomial regression model with cluster and community-health-worker random intercepts, adjusted for pre-specified covariates. Supervised machine-learning classifiers with leave-one-cluster-out cross-validation, Cox proportional-hazards regression, and multilevel logistic models were fitted as supplementary analyses. An embedded longitudinal process evaluation used key informant interviews and focus group discussions, which were analysed thematically and integrated with the quantitative findings. The neonatal mortality rate was 44.8 per 1,000 live births in the intervention arm versus 110.1 per 1,000 in the control arm. The adjusted risk ratio for neonatal death was 0.43 (95% CI 0.26-0.70; p < 0.001), a 57% relative reduction, with a number needed to treat of 16 mother-infant pairs (95% CI 11-29). Low birthweight (<2,500 g), birth interval under two years, and low community women's literacy were the strongest risk factors, while trained VHWs, functional community governance, early antenatal care, and sustained participatory group attendance were independently protective. The women's and men's groups were protective in a dose-dependent manner, becoming significant at four or more cycles (about 14 meetings) (adjusted odds ratio 0.71; 95% CI 0.60-0.85; p = 0.001). A random forest classifier discriminated against neonatal deaths with a cross-validated area under the curve of 0.842 and a sensitivity of 0.912. Qualitative findings converged with the trial results, identifying male engagement, earlier care-seeking, danger-sign literacy, social-network activation, and community death audits as the behavioural and structural mechanisms of change. Institutionalising the community health system package (trained VHWs, functional governance, early antenatal engagement, and sustained participatory groups) was associated with a substantial reduction in preventable neonatal deaths. The findings suggest that in high-coverage, high-mortality settings, the binding constraint is structural rather than clinical, and that scaling functional community governance and workforce infrastructure in the most disadvantaged communities may accelerate progress toward neonatal survival targets. The principal limitations are a one-year follow-up period, the rarity of neonatal death, and concurrent national programming that only partially reached the control clusters. Trial registration: Pan African Clinical Trials Registry, PACTR202607591142118 (https://pactr.samrc.ac.za/TrialDisplay.aspx?TrialID=PACTR202607591142118); registered retrospectively on 7 July 2026.
Sato, J.; Salehjahromi, M.; Zafar, A.; Muneer, A.; Xu, X.; Zhu, E.; Vokes, N. I.; Cascone, T.; Le, X.; Altan, M.; Gardner, E. E.; Sheshadri, A.; Ostrin, E. J.; Salahudeen, A. A.; Li, T.; Merad, M.; Chaudhuri, A. A.; Gerber, D. E.; Kay, F. U.; Godoy, M. C. B.; Carter, B. W.; Shroff, G. S.; Byers, L. A.; Chung, C.; Jaffray, D.; Rice, D.; Liao, Z.; Chang, J. Y.; Vaporciyan, A. A.; Gibbons, D. L.; Wu, C. C.; Heymach, J. V.; Zhang, J.; Wu, J.
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Biological aging occurs heterogeneously across individuals and organs. However, current measures of biological age incompletely capture organ-specific differences in health and disease risk. Because chest CT visualizes multiple thoracic organs, it offers an opportunity to quantify structural aging across organ systems. Here, we developed MOSAIC-Age, a framework characterizing eight organ-specific aging clocks on chest CT. The clocks were developed and validated using 9,971 CT scans from CT-RATE and MIDRC, and subsequently locked and applied to two independent prospective cohorts with 35,293 participants from the National Lung Screening Trial and Genetic Epidemiology of COPD study. CT-derived biological age gaps (BAGs) were examined in relation to lifestyle and socioeconomic factors, prevalent comorbidities, incident chronic diseases, and all-cause and cause-specific mortality. Higher BAGs, indicating organs that appeared older on CT than expected for their chronological age, were broadly associated with adverse health characteristics, chronic disease burden, and increased mortality risk. Multiple disease outcomes were associated with aging across several organs, whereas in multivariable analyses including all eight organ-specific BAGs, the remaining associations were more organ specific. A greater number of markedly older-appearing organs and a faster pace of aging were each associated with higher mortality. Together, these findings demonstrate that routine chest CT captures both shared and organ-specific patterns of biological aging and establish CT-derived organ aging as a quantitative imaging biomarker for assessing multi-organ health and long-term disease risk.
Lu, Z.; Uddin, S.; Uribe, S.; White, S.; Martins, R. T.; Chau, S.; Mosaddek, A. S. M.; Islam, M. S.; Nahar, N.; Azad, A. K. M.; Hossain, K. M. N.; Choudhury, H. S.; Hasan, K. M. R.; Mosaddek, N.; Rahman, S.; Hossain, M. M.; Sizar, K. M. M. H.; Angione, C.; Lio, P.; Islam, M. T.; Moni, M. A.
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Stroke remains a leading cause of mortality and long-term disability worldwide, yet rapid diagnosis is often limited by the shortage of trained radiologists, particularly in resource-constrained settings. Automated analysis of CT imaging offers a potential solution, but existing methods often struggle to achieve clinically generalisable performance while jointly addressing multiple diagnostic tasks. Here we present the Intelligent Integrated Stroke Diagnosis System IISDS, an end-to-end deep learning framework built upon StrokeGNN, a graph-based architecture that integrates 3D contextual feature extraction with U-Net-based 2D lesion segmentation to enable comprehensive stroke analysis from non-contrast CT scans. IISDS performs stroke subtype classification, lesion segmentation and lesion volume estimation within a unified pipeline. To develop and validate the system, we collected and curated BGD-ISD through a collaboration between AI researchers, neurologists, radiologists and clinicians, resulting in a large multi-centre dataset comprising 1,507 CT scans from 597 stroke cases acquired across six hospitals and medical centres in Bangladesh. Across BGD-ISD and multiple publicly available datasets, IISDS achieves state-of-the-art performance on all tasks, improving segmentation accuracy by [≥]0.011 Dice score, reducing lesion volume estimation error by [≥]0.3 average symmetric surface distance (ASSD), and increasing classification performance by [≥]0.018 area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) compared with existing approaches. These results demonstrate the potential of graph-based deep learning to enable clinically generalisable, automated and scalable stroke diagnosis from CT imaging, supporting rapid clinical decision-making, particularly in healthcare environments with limited access to expert radiological interpretation.
Barzideh, A.; Devasahayam, A. J.; Marzolini, S.; Munce, S.; Sibley, K. M.; Inness, E. L.; Mansfield, A.
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Background: Aerobic exercise is recommended during stroke rehabilitation to improve cardiorespiratory fitness and support recovery; however, participation rates remain low. While institutional and system-level barriers have been widely examined, less is known about how individual patient factors influence engagement in aerobic exercise during rehabilitation. Objectives: We aimed to determine whether depressive symptoms, apathy, self-efficacy and outcome expectations for exercise, perceived barriers, or past exercise history were associated with aerobic exercise participation in stroke rehabilitation. Methods: In this prospective cohort sub-study, adults admitted to in- or out-patient stroke rehabilitation at three urban hospitals completed validated questionnaires assessing depressive symptoms, apathy, exercise self-efficacy, outcome expectations for exercise, perceived barriers to being active, and premorbid exercise history. Participants were separated into two groups for analysis: those who completed aerobic exercise during rehabilitation and those who did not. Equivalence testing and between-group comparisons were performed. Results: Sixty-two participants were enrolled; 16 participated in aerobic exercise and 46 did not. Groups were not equivalent on any individual-level factors. Compared to non-participants, those who performed aerobic exercise had significantly higher depressive symptom scores (p=0.0025) and lower self-efficacy for exercise (p=0.0087). Non-participants demonstrated significantly higher apathy (p=0.0007). No significant differences were found for outcome expectations, perceived barriers, or exercise history. Conclusion: Depressive symptoms and lower self-efficacy did not impede aerobic exercise participation during rehabilitation. Increased apathy, however, was associated with non-participation. Findings highlight the need for individually tailored aerobic exercise prescriptions that consider motivational and affective factors to optimize engagement during stroke rehabilitation.
Saba, T. M.; Moudgil-Joshi, J.; Pandit, A. S.; Penn, J.; Mallon, D.; Marcus, H. J.; Grover, P.
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Background and Objectives: Recurrence following burr-hole drainage of chronic subdural haematoma (cSDH) occurs in 10-25% of cases, sustained by neovascularisation of the subdural neomembrane supplied by the middle meningeal artery (MMA). MMA embolisation reduces recurrence; whether incidental burr-hole intersection of MMA branches during drainage confers similar benefit is unknown. Methods: We performed a multicentre retrospective cohort study of consecutive adults undergoing burr-hole drainage for cSDH at two UK tertiary neurosurgical centres. Postoperative thin-slice CT was used to classify burr-hole intersection of the underlying MMA groove (no hit, distal-branch hit or main-branch hit) and measure perpendicular burr-hole-to-MMA-groove distance. Co-primary outcomes were radiological recurrence and recurrence requiring intervention. Patient-clustered multivariable logistic regression adjusted for prespecified clinical covariates and treating site. Results: 227 patients (284 operated hemispheres) were included. Radiological recurrence decreased from 34.4% with no branch hit to 22.9% with main-branch intersection, with the gradient confined predominantly to unilateral cSDH. Main-branch intersection was associated with lower adjusted odds of radiological recurrence in unilateral cSDH (adjusted OR 0.30, 95% CI 0.11- 0.81; P = .018), with a similar but non-significant association in the overall cohort (adjusted OR 0.53, 95% CI 0.26-1.07; P = .075). Burr-hole-to-MMA-groove distance demonstrated a more consistent association: in the overall cohort, each 5-mm increase independently increased the odds of radiological recurrence (adjusted OR 1.38, 95% CI 1.04-1.82; P = .025). In unilateral cSDH, each 5-mm increase was independently associated with both radiological recurrence (adjusted OR 1.45, 95% CI 1.03-2.04; P = .034) and recurrence requiring intervention (adjusted OR 1.52, 95% CI 1.05-2.20; P = .027). Conclusion: Main-branch intersection of the middle meningeal artery during routine burr-hole surgery is associated with lower recurrence of unilateral cSDH, while the accompanying burr-hole-to-MMA-groove distance gradient provides biologically plausible support for a dose-response relationship. Together, these findings provide mechanistic rationale for prospective evaluation of intentional neuronavigation-guided MMA targeting (BURR-MMA; NCT07549893).
Mengi, A.; Bagita-Vangana, M.; Tesine, P.; Laman, M.; Bolnga, J. W.; Ome-Kaius, M.; Kulimbao, J.; Mase, J.; Mal, L. S.; Mnjala, H.; Lee, G.; Cassidy-Seyoum, S. A.; Thriemer, K.; Unger, H. W.
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Disseminating study results to participants is an ethical responsibility for researchers but remains uncommon in low- and middle-income countries, and participants preferences for receiving study results are poorly understood. This study examined study result dissemination preferences among pregnant women in a phase III malaria prevention trial in Papua New Guinea (PNG). Participants completed an interviewer-administered questionnaire (survey) assessing their interest in and motivation for receiving trial results and preferences for dissemination methods and content. Associations between participants characteristics and dissemination preferences were explored using multivariable logistic regression analysis. Of 1172 trial participants, 96.0% (1125/1172) completed the survey, and of these 99.6% (1121/1125) wanted to learn about the trial results. The main motivation factors driving participants interest were an acknowledgment of their contribution to research (51.7%; n=579) and a better understanding of the study (45.0%; n=505). Most participants (78.9%; n=884) wanted to learn about the trial findings through written summary and a group meeting with other participants at the nearest clinic (31.1%, n=349). Multivariable regression analysis indicated that participants from rural/peri-urban clinics were more likely to choose non-electronic media dissemination approaches such as a group meeting as compared to urban-dwelling participants. Frequently selected items (>50% of participants) for content included information regarding good results of the study, purpose of the study, medical treatment advances, results specific to me, and how study was conducted. There was heterogenicity in the preference for dissemination content: compared to urban clinics rural clinics are less likely to want to learn about how and why study was conducted and medical and scientific advances. Overall, the majority wanted to learn about trial results, highlighting the importance of integrating dissemination into research activities in PNG. Variation in preferences for mode and content of dissemination between study clinics suggests that dissemination activities could be tailored to local context and preferences.
Wang, F.; Zhang, Y.-j.; Li, Y.-c.; Li, C.; Yu, H.-F.; Deng, H.-J.; Yu, J.-y.; Xia, H.-m.; Yu, C.; Zhang, Y.; Luo, Z.; Dong, Y.; Pan, X.
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BACKGROUND: Cerebral ischemia following subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) has traditionally been considered transient because functional alterations of the cerebral microcirculation are thought to be self-limiting. However, we identified a previously unrecognized vasculopathy, perivascular fibrosis of the cerebral microcirculation (PFCM), characterized by excessive type I collagen deposition after SAH. This study investigated the mechanisms underlying PFCM and its subsequent effects on cerebral hemodynamics. METHODS: In vivo SAH was modeled in mice by autologous blood injection, whereas oxygenated hemoglobin (OxyHb) exposure was used to mimic SAH in vitro. Pericyte-deficient mice (Pdgfr{beta}+/-) and pericyte-specific vestigial-like family member 3 (VGLL3) conditional knockout mice (Vgll3{Delta}PC) were generated. Pericyte contractility was measured by nanoindentation and traction force microscopy. Molecular mechanisms were examined using Western blotting, immunofluorescence, CUT&Tag, RNA-seq, transmission electron microscopy, and molecular docking. PFCM, impaired dilation of the cerebral microcirculation, and cerebral autoregulation were assessed by two-photon imaging, transcranial Doppler with continuous blood pressure monitoring, super-resolution ultrasound imaging, and photoacoustic imaging. RESULTS: After SAH, mice developed long-term cerebral autoregulation dysfunction marked by impaired dilation of the cerebral microcirculation, with the abnormality being most evident within the relatively lower blood pressure range. The marked reduction in PFCM in Pdgfr{beta}+/- mice indicated that pericytes were the principal cellular contributors. Mechanistically, OxyHb-induced cytoskeletal remodeling in vitro increased pericyte contractility and promoted nuclear translocation of SAH-upregulated VGLL3. This was followed by increased genomic occupancy, Col1a1 transcriptional activation, and type I collagen deposition. Pericyte-specific VGLL3 knockout abolished PFCM and, consequently, significantly alleviated long-term cerebral autoregulation dysfunction. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings identify PFCM mediated by pericytic VGLL3 as a novel vasculopathy leading to long-term cerebral autoregulation dysfunction after SAH.
Mina, I. K.; Hussain, Y.; Siwy, J.; Catanese, L.; Rupprecht, H.; Beige, J.; Staessen, J. A.; Metzger, J.; Persson, F.; Rossing, P.; Delles, C.; Schanstra, J. P.; Bannaga, A.; Vlahou, A.; Mischak, H.; Arasaradnam, R. P.; Latosinska, A.
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Background: Fibrosis, characterised by excessive accumulation of collagen type I (COL1), is a common feature of chronic diseases, including liver diseases (LDs), chronic kidney disease (CKD) and heart failure (HF). COL1 degradation products can be detected in urine by proteomics/ peptidomics analyses and may serve as non-invasive biomarkers of fibrosis. We aimed to identify a common molecular signature of fibrosis across these diseases that may ultimately guide interventions to slow disease progression and prevent organ damage. Methods: Using capillary electrophoresis coupled to mass spectrometry (CE-MS), naturally occurring COL1 degradation products (peptides) in the urine of patients with fibrotic disease, LDs (n=127), CKD (n=263) or HF (n=187), were investigated and compared with the same number of matched controls. Disease-associated COL1 peptides were identified separately for each condition, and peptides showing consistent associations across the three diseases were selected to define a common fibrosis signature. A support vector machine model based on the selected peptides was developed and validated in independent cohorts of patients with LDs (n=110), CKD (n=93), HF (n=32) and controls (n=643). Results: We identified a common fibrotic signature consisting of 50 COL1 degradation products, mainly downregulated in fibrosis. A model based on these peptides achieved a strong performance, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.935 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.917-0.953, p<0.0001) in an external validation cohort comprising pooled disease groups (LDs, CKD, and HF) and controls. Performance was maintained in LDs, CKD and HF, with AUCs of 0.917 (95% CI 0.890-0.944, p<0.0001), 0.951 (95% CI 0.931-0.971, p<0.0001) and 0.950 (95% CI 0.903-0.997, p<0.0001), respectively. The model scores were significantly associated with fibrosis stage in LDs (p=0.0097) and with interstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy in CKD (p=0.045). Conclusion: A model of urinary COL1 peptides captures a shared collagen degradation signature across organs and diseases, enabling the non-invasive assessment of fibrosis irrespective of its origin. As these peptides exclusively reflect collagen degradation, the findings suggest impaired collagen degradation as a driver in fibrosis. Future clinical studies are warranted to evaluate the utility of this model for early fibrosis detection and earlier implementation of anti-fibrotic interventions.
Corcoran, D.; Szoeke, C.; Apostolopoulos, V.; Feehan, J.
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This study aimed to quantify the longitudinal tracking and cross-sectional construct validity of a single-item questionnaire measuring recreational physical activity frequency (RPAF) in the Womens Healthy Ageing Project. At baseline, 474 participants aged 45-55 reported RPAF from 1993 to 2014. Longitudinal tracking of the RPAF item was assessed as a consecutive-wave and baseline-referenced measure using linear weighted kappa (LWK), Spearman correlations, exact agreement and within-one-category agreement. Construct validity in the form of convergent and known-group validity was assessed using the International Physical Activity Questionnaire (IPAQ) leisure activity domains, Short Form 36 physical function (SF-36-PF) subscale, Timed Up and Go (TUG), hand grip strength (HGS) and waist-to-height ratio (WHtR). 474 participants provided baseline RPAF data. Pairwise longitudinal samples ranged from 176 to 459 across the study. Consecutive-wave LWK ranged from 0.38 to 0.49, and Spearman correlations ranged from 0.44 to 0.57. Exact and within-category agreement ranged from 41.4%-50.8% and 72.0%-79.0%. Baseline-referenced LWK ranged from 0.22 to 0.47, with Spearman correlations of 0.29 to 0.56. RPAF correlated with total IPAQ leisure score (rs = 0.60), IPAQ walking score (rs = 0.58), SF-36-PF (rs = 0.33) and TUG score (rs = -0.25). No significant correlation was identified between RPAF, HGS or WhTR. RPAF discriminated known groups for WHO guideline-sufficient activity, SF-36-PF, and TUG fall risk. The RPAF item demonstrated fair-to-moderate agreement in consecutive waves, with weaker baseline-referenced tracking. Cross-sectional validity was highest with total IPAQ leisure activity. The item may provide a pragmatic measure for RPAF in womens cohort studies.
Gorenshtein, A.; Adiniaev, Y.; Srour, A.; Klang, E.; Daniel, O.
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Objective: Whether a scheduled antiseizure medication (ASM) continues on schedule across the ICU-to-floor transfer has not been characterized. We quantified ASM administration-gap frequency across this transfer and compared it with gap frequency during matched non-transfer intervals in the same patient and drug. Methods: In this retrospective MIMIC-IV (version 3.1) cohort study, we identified epilepsy and status-epilepticus admissions with an ICU stay followed by floor transfer and a scheduled ASM order active at ICU departure. A gap was defined as an interval exceeding 1.5 times the expected dosing interval between the last ICU dose and first floor dose, or no further dose before discharge, and compared with a matched non-transfer control interval in the same patient and drug (paired McNemar test). A multivariable model evaluated six prespecified clinical predictors; sociodemographic variables were summarized descriptively. Results: Among 2,469 ASM transition-by-drug observations (1,583 admissions, 1,335 patients), an administration gap occurred in 251 (10.2%; 95% CI, 8.7%-11.7%). Gap frequency across the transfer exceeded frequency during matched non-transfer control intervals in the same patient and drug: a paired rate difference of 5.8 percentage points (95% CI, 4.4-7.1; 7.5% vs 1.7%; P = 7.3 x 10^-22) before the transfer and 6.4 percentage points (95% CI, 4.9-7.9; 8.9% vs 2.5%; P = 1.9 x 10^-23) after. Gap rates were similar for intravenous-available (9.9%) and oral-only (11.4%) drugs (rate difference, 1.5 percentage points; 95% CI, -1.6 to 4.5; P = .34). None of six prespecified predictors reached significance after correction. Significance: An antiseizure medication administration gap occurred in approximately 1 of every 10 drug-transition observations at the ICU-to-floor transfer, exceeding matched non-transfer gap rates by 5.8 to 6.4 percentage points. This transfer-associated excess, rather than any single medication or patient characteristic, supports a structured medication-continuity check.